There is an uncomfortable truth many conservative voters do not want to hear:
Minor parties cannot govern. And One Nation is not an institution; it is a personality-driven machine. Previous history has shown us what happens when the leader is a personality and new entrants challenge that.
Even with occasional high-profile figures drifting in and out, minor parties lack the fundamentals required to run a country:
- A credible ministerial bench
- Serious policy development machinery
- Cabinet experience (often down to one person)
- Parliamentary discipline and cohesion
Such is the case with One Nation.
Governing requires numbers, organisation, institutional memory, and constant negotiation. Personality, anger, and slogans do not deliver energy reform, border security, fiscal restraint, or industrial relations changes.
History repeatedly confirms this.
One Nation has held Senate leverage multiple times. What did it produce?
- Noise
- Delays
- Symbolic votes
- Media moments
But real conservative reform? Zero.
Blocking legislation is not governing. Delaying reform is not reform. Protest is not policy.
And fixing the issues of energy reliability, budget restraint, and IR reform were not delivered through Senate theatrics. Hence we are paying a very high price for that now. Meanwhile, bureaucratic power expanded quietly in the background and Labor proceeded to introduce more and more draconian reforms.
It is a fact that protest voting weakens the right and hands power to the Labor. It fractures conservative support and that fragmentation does not punish Labor it protects them.
Under Australia’s Westminster system, when conservatives splinter:
- Governments weaken
- Legislation stalls
- Crossbenchers gain leverage
- Bureaucrats and regulators fill the vacuum
While conservatives fight each other, progressive policies advance by default.
The last two federal elections are evidence. Protest votes helped deliver Albanese not because Labor persuaded more people, but because conservatives divided themselves.
This is not theory. It is structural reality.
Coalition Disunity Is the Fuel for Minor Parties
Here’s the part many don’t want to admit:
One Nation grows when the Coalition publicly implodes.
Endless infighting between Liberals and Nationals sends a clear message to voters: dysfunction. That doesn’t inspire reform-minded conservatives; it pushes them toward anger and protest.
When the Coalition fights itself:
- Labor governs unchallenged
- Minor parties fill the gaps
- Voters disengage or protest-vote
- Executive authority shifts to the bureaucracy and courts
Unity is not about suppressing debate or ideological conformity. Internal disagreement is healthy. But public disunity is electoral suicide.
A divided Coalition does not look principled it looks incapable of governing.
Frustrated voters often say: “Labor and the Coalition are identical.” But in reality, that is a comforting lie promoted on social media and by some conservative media.
It feels true because:
- Bureaucracy slows reform
- Senate fragmentation dilutes outcomes
- Governments avoid high-risk decisions
But the differences are real and over time they compound.
Taxes, regulation, energy costs, border enforcement, defence posture these do not drift randomly. They move directionally. And when conservatives abandon governing-capable parties, the direction is always left.
Conversely, voters support One Nation because they promise to attack woke culture and to “leave the UN” or “exit the WEF.”
Reality check:
- The WEF is a forum, not a treaty. You can’t formally “leave” it.
- UN membership is legally binding. Withdrawal would devastate trade, defence, and diplomatic credibility. Even a majority conservative government would struggle. Even the US has not withdrawn from UN. Some agencies yes, but not the UN.
- Treaties can only be renegotiated by governments with numbers, discipline, and negotiating credibility. Minor parties have none.
Selective withdrawal from specific UN agencies or agreements is possible but only by a serious government, not protest movements. Unlike the US we don’t have a President with presidential powers.
Another myth is that minor parties keep major parties accountable.
The record says otherwise:
- Legislative blocking without reform
- Transactional politics
- Weak governments
- Expanding bureaucratic control
When governments are weak, accountability does not increase it disappears into unelected institutions. Anyone who currently watches Senate Estimates knows this only too well.
True accountability requires strong, disciplined governments under pressure to deliver outcomes.
The Hard Truth for Conservatives
If you care about:
- Border security
- Fiscal responsibility
- Energy reliability
- Industrial relations reform
Then understand this:
- Personality politics will not deliver results
- Protest parties fracture the conservative vote
- Coalition infighting accelerates conservative defeat
- Weak governments empower Labor and the bureaucracy
Every serious conservative reform in Australia’s modern history came from united parties capable of governing, not from minor parties posturing from the sidelines.
The frustration is real. Anger is justified.
But voting for One Nation or indulging Coalition civil wars:
- Feels like action
- Produces nothing substantive
- Weakens the only viable governing alternative
- Hands power to Labor by default
Protest votes don’t govern. Disunity doesn’t reform.
Politically serious conservatives who want outcomes, not slogans, must demand unity, discipline, and competence from the Liberals and Nationals and hold them accountable from within.
That is how reform happens in Australia.
- Not through protest.
- Not through personalities.
- But through governing strength.
